The veteran Labour AM Jane Hutt would lose her Vale of Glamorgan seat if there was an election for the Welsh Assembly now – according to an opinion poll conducted by YouGov for ITV Wales and Cardiff University.
The opinion poll also shows that support for the Labour Party has fallen to its lowest level in Wales since before the 2010 general election.
The “Welsh Political Barometer” poll is the first to test public opinion in Wales so far this year, and shows that Labour support has fallen by two points from the previous poll in the series – taking the party back to its worst days in the last weeks of Labour Prime Minister Gordon Brown.
There is a small ray of hope for the Lib-Dems who appear to have the support of 9% of electors
If there was a Parliamentary General Election now, Plaid Cymru would take the Ynys Mon seat from Labour – using the existing boundaries. If the election was fought using the new fairer constituency boundaries Labour would end up with four seats fewer than now
In the National Assembly there would also be a decline in Labour representation and giving the party its lowest rating since July 2009 .The Conservatives are projected to win Gower, the Vale of Clwyd, the Vale of Glamorgan, and Wrexham whilst Plaid Cymru would gain Blaenau Gwent, Cardiff West, and Llanelli and the Liberal Democrats would gain Cardiff Central.
The YouGov poll, for ITV Wales and Cardiff University’s Wales Governance Centre, had a sample of 1,034 Welsh adults and was carried out by YouGov from 3-6 January 2017.