The first opinion poll carried out in Wales since the start of the General Election campaign predicts that the Conservative Party can win the parliamentary constituency of Cardiff South and Penarth – currently held for Labour by Stephen Doughty.
The poll – carried out for ITV Wales and Cardiff University by YouGov – indicates that the Conservatives can not only defeat Doughty in Cardiff South and Penarth but can win the majority of parliamentary seats in Wales for the first time since 1922.
The findings are broadly in line with last week’s predictions by Professor Roger Scully of Cardiff University. See PDN report http://tinyurl.com/lg6tymw
YouGov quizzed a weighted sample of 1,029 people across Wales with no less than 40% saying they would vote Conservative against only 30% who said they would back the Jeremy Corbyn-led Labour Party .
If the poll’s findings are repeated at the General Election on June 8, the Labour Party will have lost control of Wales – a country which up until now the party has regarded – and treated – as its socialist fiefdom.
If the poll data is replicated in the General Election YouGov says the Conservatives are set to take the following seats:-
- Alyn & Deeside
- Cardiff South & Penarth
- Cardiff West
- Clwyd South
- Newport East
- Newport West
- Ynys Mon
YouGov predicts that Plaid and the Liberal Democrats are not expected to make any gains although last week Professor Scully had forecast that Plaid Cymru could take Ynys Mon