NEW OPINION POLL SAYS CARDIFF SOUTH & PENARTH COULD TURN TORY

Penarth will be going to the polls in the General Election on June 8th.

The first opinion poll carried out in Wales since the start of the General Election campaign predicts that the Conservative Party can win  the parliamentary constituency of Cardiff South and Penarth – currently held for Labour by Stephen Doughty.

The poll – carried out for ITV Wales and Cardiff University by YouGov – indicates that the Conservatives can not only defeat Doughty in Cardiff South and Penarth but can win the majority of parliamentary  seats in Wales for the first time since 1922.

Professor Roger Scully of Cardiff University

The findings are broadly in line with last week’s predictions by  Professor Roger Scully of Cardiff University. See PDN report http://tinyurl.com/lg6tymw

YouGov quizzed a weighted sample of 1,029 people across Wales with no less than 40% saying they would vote Conservative against only 30% who said they would back the Jeremy Corbyn-led Labour Party .

If the poll’s findings are repeated at the General Election on June 8, the Labour Party will have lost  control of Wales – a country which up until now the party has regarded – and treated – as its socialist fiefdom.

If the poll data is replicated in the General Election YouGov says the Conservatives are set to take the following seats:-

  • Alyn & Deeside
  • Bridgend
  • Cardiff South & Penarth
  • Cardiff West
  • Clwyd South
  • Delyn
  • Newport East
  • Newport West
  • Wrexham
  • Ynys Mon

YouGov predicts that  Plaid and the Liberal Democrats are not expected to make any gains although last week Professor Scully had forecast that Plaid Cymru could take Ynys Mon

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13 Responses to NEW OPINION POLL SAYS CARDIFF SOUTH & PENARTH COULD TURN TORY

  1. AK says:

    What a stupid, pointless poll and result when the Tories have not yet declared who will be their candidate (or have I missed it).

    Labour could put Peppa Pig up for election and all the Labour sheep would vote her in.

    • Frank Evans says:

      What a stupid comment. The polling agency liklihood to vote for a particular party not a particular candidate.
      I too hope labour gets a reality check in Wales for all our sakes.

      • AK says:

        I can think of plenty of candidates on any side of the political divide who would not get my vote if they were ‘parachuted’ in.

        The personality can be as important as the party.

      • Peter Church says:

        Parachuted in, like Stephen Doughty you mean 🙂

      • Frank Evans says:

        Your electing a government not voting on a beauty contest. That’s maybe why we have Mr Doughty!

  2. Karl Hughes says:

    So only 1,029 people were actually asked. Yeah, that sounds like a reliable survey considering the amount of people who live in Wales – NOT! What a load of rubbish. These polls are about as much use as a handbrake in a canoe

  3. Jan says:

    Yep ..we all believe polls 😄

  4. The Shepherd says:

    I can’t say I will be sorry to see Stephen Doughty go, ineffectual, ineffective, lacklustre, uninspiring, runs with the hare, runs with the hounds, walks with ISIS, strays from the truth, man of mystery, he has his own agenda. I feel his loyalties have always lay with Cardiff South and not Penarth, he would have gone at the boundary change anyway.

  5. Andrew Worsley says:

    A polls accuracy and reliability is all based on the numbers asked and the variation of people , places and most of all THE QUESTIONS ASKED during the poll . You could poll 100 million people ask the wrong questions and the poll would be useless.

  6. Louise C says:

    So, we have to vote for Doughty to keep the Tories out. Thanks for the tip.

  7. vicky moller says:

    plaid are more effective at holding tories to account than labour in westminster

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